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Red99
542735.8
769115.3
941831.3
Blue69
458712.0
837025.3
749246.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108870501001509969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
57Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
99Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#15
35.80.1
43.043.1
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
blue by 11.0
7492
#26
46.81.1
45.444.3
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
Second
9418
#19
31.30.1
38.038.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0
red by 6.0
8370
#28
25.31.1
24.223.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Third
7691
#41
15.30.1
16.516.6
Auto1.3
Teleop13.0
End1.0
red by 3.3
4587
#39
12.01.1
15.514.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned