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Red87
1038522.1
419224.8
258236.1
Blue116
635759.5
507018.4
32351.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061455020025087116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#15
30Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
48Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
87Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#20
36.11.1
43.942.8
Auto7.4
Teleop23.4
End5.3
blue by 23.4
6357
#12
59.50.8
61.160.3
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
Second
4192
#42
24.81.1
36.535.4
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End0.2
blue by 27.1
323
#13
51.90.8
43.442.6
Auto6.6
Teleop39.0
End6.3
Third
22.11.1
20.018.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
red by 3.7
5070
#22
18.40.8
21.220.4
Auto1.8
Teleop13.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned