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Red217
384750.3
1001444.3
804490.4
Blue145
914060.8
999121.3
32454.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197122050100150250300217145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+50Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
9Coral scored#7
43Coral points33
43Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +46
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points68
6Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
36Processor points12
20Net points12
56Algae points24
138Total teleop92
Reef
17L4#12
7L3#4
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
217Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.42.4
74.376.7
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
red by 29.6
9140
#31
60.80.7
56.056.7
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
Second
3847
#14
50.32.4
55.758.1
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
blue by 4.5
324
#9
54.90.7
56.357.0
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Third
44.32.4
45.047.4
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End7.0
red by 23.0
9991
#29
21.31.2
18.719.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned