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Red156
589256.3
542735.8
258732.5
Blue78
637733.6
941831.3
837025.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1469805020015678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+54Teleop
+72Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
93Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points0
156Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.30.8
45.846.7
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
red by 22.8
6377
#30
33.61.0
32.231.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.3
End0.4
Second
5427
#15
35.80.8
43.143.9
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
red by 4.5
9418
#19
31.31.0
38.137.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0
Third
2587
#16
32.50.8
36.737.5
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End3.4
red by 7.2
8370
#28
25.31.0
23.222.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed