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Red114
998644.3
999419.5
41848.6
Blue109
284845.8
271843.8
851517.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90117050150200250114109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
63Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
114Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#21
48.61.4
51.653.0
Auto12.8
Teleop29.8
End6.0
red by 2.8
2848
#24
45.80.1
49.249.3
Auto14.6
Teleop30.3
End0.9
Second
44.32.4
26.829.2
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4
red by 0.5
2718
#10
43.80.1
39.940.0
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
Third
9994
#32
19.52.4
10.913.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End3.0
red by 2.4
8515
#34
17.10.1
15.515.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed