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Red80
543135.7
28828.5
550314.8
Blue141
635759.5
258236.1
463928.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52156010020025080141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+45
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
63Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
2Foul points18
80Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#23
35.70.6
36.837.4
Auto4.4
Teleop28.8
End2.4
blue by 23.8
6357
#12
59.51.1
60.359.1
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
Second
5503
#37
14.80.6
13.914.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
blue by 21.3
2582
#20
36.11.1
42.841.7
Auto7.4
Teleop23.4
End5.3
Third
2882
#40
8.50.6
8.79.3
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 19.7
4639
#25
28.31.1
29.228.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsMissed