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Red106
458712.0
1011841.2
258236.1
Blue69
999419.5
590821.3
851517.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10348015020010669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+49Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
83Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
106Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.3
25.526.8
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3
red by 19.9
5908
#35
21.31.4
19.721.0
Auto3.3
Teleop17.3
End0.7
Second
2582
#20
36.11.3
41.743.0
Auto7.4
Teleop23.4
End5.3
red by 16.6
9994
#32
19.52.3
13.315.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End3.0
Third
4587
#39
12.01.3
16.718.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End1.2
blue by 5.0
8515
#34
17.11.4
15.617.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned