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Red120
284845.8
550314.8
635759.5
Blue111
582941.4
637733.6
1001444.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812750100150200250120111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +19
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
89Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
120Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#12
59.50.9
59.158.2
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
red by 15.2
44.31.2
47.446.2
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End7.0
Second
2848
#24
45.80.9
49.348.4
Auto14.6
Teleop30.3
End0.9
red by 4.4
41.41.2
36.134.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Third
5503
#37
14.80.9
14.613.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
blue by 18.8
6377
#30
33.61.2
31.229.9
Auto5.8
Teleop27.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned