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Red177
804490.4
998644.3
837025.3
Blue163
41848.6
118104.8
941831.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131214050100150200250300177163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points26
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +16
19Coral scored#26
69Coral points95
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
107Total teleop123
Reef
10L4#12
6L3#10
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
177Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.43.1
76.779.8
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
blue by 14.4
118
#1
104.81.9
99.597.5
Auto21.6
Teleop72.6
End10.7
Second
44.35.1
29.234.3
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4
blue by 4.3
418
#21
48.61.9
53.051.1
Auto12.8
Teleop29.8
End6.0
Third
8370
#28
25.33.1
22.125.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 6.0
9418
#19
31.31.9
37.135.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned