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Red158
589256.3
749246.8
999121.3
Blue127
542735.8
62458.5
384750.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94192050150250158127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+39Teleop
+29Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
7Coral scored#10
36Coral points48
36Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +54
24Coral scored#11
86Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
114Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#10
14L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
2Foul points0
158Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.31.8
46.748.5
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
blue by 2.2
624
#17
58.53.3
62.058.7
Auto11.7
Teleop42.3
End4.6
Second
7492
#26
46.81.8
43.745.5
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
blue by 3.6
3847
#14
50.33.3
58.154.9
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
Third
9991
#29
21.33.1
19.923.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End0.4
blue by 14.5
5427
#15
35.83.3
43.940.6
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned