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Red111
32454.9
769115.3
541437.9
Blue125
507018.4
680079.6
147752.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118197050100150250300111125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
89Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points6
111Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#9
54.90.3
57.056.7
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
blue by 24.7
79.63.1
82.179.0
Auto20.4
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Second
5414
#27
37.90.3
42.842.6
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End1.0
blue by 14.9
1477
#11
52.73.1
62.459.3
Auto10.0
Teleop37.1
End5.7
Third
7691
#41
15.30.3
15.114.8
Auto1.3
Teleop13.0
End1.0
blue by 3.1
5070
#22
18.43.1
20.917.8
Auto1.8
Teleop13.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned