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Red162
1001444.3
635759.5
62458.5
Blue223
118104.8
998644.3
384750.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177208100150250300162223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points41
34Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +37
23Coral scored#28
82Coral points99
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
110Total teleop147
Reef
9L4#17
9L3#8
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
2Foul points6
162Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#12
59.50.2
58.258.0
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
blue by 45.3
118
#1
104.82.0
97.599.5
Auto21.6
Teleop72.6
End10.7
Second
624
#17
58.50.2
58.758.5
Auto11.7
Teleop42.3
End4.6
red by 8.2
3847
#14
50.32.0
54.956.9
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
Third
44.30.2
46.246.0
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End7.0
Level
44.33.4
34.337.7
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned