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Red77
837025.3
999121.3
590821.3
Blue82
550314.8
637733.6
999419.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6363657075807782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
60Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points4
77Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8370
#28
25.30.5
25.225.7
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 8.2
6377
#30
33.61.3
29.931.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.3
End0.4
Second
9991
#29
21.30.9
23.023.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End0.4
red by 1.8
9994
#32
19.52.1
15.617.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End3.0
Third
5908
#35
21.30.5
21.021.5
Auto3.3
Teleop17.3
End0.7
red by 6.5
5503
#37
14.81.3
13.614.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed