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Red129
1011841.2
288158.7
433630.0
Blue94
41848.6
258236.1
542735.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13015605010020025030035040012994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
82Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#4
9L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
129Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.8
55.656.3
Auto13.0
Teleop34.2
End11.5
red by 10.1
418
#21
48.62.7
51.148.4
Auto12.8
Teleop29.8
End6.0
Second
41.20.8
26.827.6
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3
red by 5.1
2582
#20
36.12.7
43.040.3
Auto7.4
Teleop23.4
End5.3
Third
4336
#18
30.00.8
35.135.9
Auto4.6
Teleop24.1
End1.3
blue by 5.8
5427
#15
35.82.7
40.637.9
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned