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Red63
463928.3
550314.8
384750.3
Blue96
284845.8
541437.9
1038522.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130131801001201401606396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+41
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points37
27Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +31
4Coral scored#10
16Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
24Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
63Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#14
50.33.7
63.159.5
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
red by 4.5
2848
#24
45.81.9
52.750.9
Auto14.6
Teleop30.3
End0.9
Second
4639
#25
28.33.7
38.234.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End2.9
blue by 9.6
5414
#27
37.91.9
48.746.8
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End1.0
Third
5503
#37
14.83.7
17.113.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
blue by 7.3
22.11.9
22.520.7
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed