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Red142
41848.6
635759.5
271843.8
Blue65
999121.3
542735.8
28828.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19648010015025030014265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+69Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +48
20Coral scored#9
73Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
95Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
142Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#12
59.51.6
63.361.7
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
red by 23.6
5427
#15
35.80.6
43.542.9
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
Second
418
#21
48.61.6
58.657.0
Auto12.8
Teleop29.8
End6.0
red by 27.3
9991
#29
21.31.0
19.018.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Third
2718
#10
43.81.6
43.842.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
red by 35.3
2882
#40
8.50.6
11.611.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed