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Red162
941831.3
541437.9
804490.4
Blue149
28828.5
32351.9
147752.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173110050150200250162149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
17Coral scored#20
62Coral points71
6Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
36Processor points18
20Net points28
56Algae points46
118Total teleop117
Reef
10L4#11
4L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
162Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.40.3
79.880.1
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
red by 37.7
1477
#11
52.72.6
59.361.9
Auto10.0
Teleop37.1
End5.7
Second
5414
#27
37.90.3
42.642.9
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End1.0
blue by 14.0
323
#13
51.92.6
44.747.2
Auto6.6
Teleop39.0
End6.3
Third
9418
#19
31.30.3
35.135.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0
red by 22.8
2882
#40
8.52.6
6.59.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned