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Red156
271843.8
32454.9
680079.6
Blue106
1038522.1
543135.7
582941.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21681050100150200250300156106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave9
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points7
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
85Total teleop76
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
156Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.61.4
79.077.6
Auto20.4
Teleop48.9
End10.3
red by 38.1
41.41.3
34.836.1
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
324
#9
54.91.4
56.755.4
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
red by 19.2
5431
#23
35.71.3
34.936.2
Auto4.4
Teleop28.8
End2.4
Third
2718
#10
43.81.4
40.739.3
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
red by 21.8
22.11.3
16.617.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned