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Red131
258732.5
507018.4
914060.8
Blue74
769115.3
749246.8
851517.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1358205010015020025013174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+55Teleop
+45Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
18Processor points6
32Net points12
50Algae points18
92Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
14Foul points2
131Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#31
60.80.3
59.359.0
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
red by 14.0
7492
#26
46.80.4
45.545.2
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
Second
2587
#16
32.50.3
35.034.7
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End3.4
red by 15.4
8515
#34
17.10.4
17.016.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Third
5070
#22
18.40.3
17.817.6
Auto1.8
Teleop13.0
End3.6
red by 3.1
7691
#41
15.30.4
14.814.5
Auto1.3
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed