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Red209
1011841.2
118104.8
837025.3
Blue88
999121.3
258236.1
1001444.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1939405015025030020988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+101Teleop
+121Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
3Leave3
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points19
44Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +79
31Coral scored#12
111Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
139Total teleop60
Reef
14L4#6
9L3#5
7L2#2
9L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#20
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
0Foul points0
209Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
104.83.7
99.5103.3
Auto21.6
Teleop72.6
End10.7
red by 60.5
44.31.5
46.044.5
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End7.0
Second
41.23.7
27.631.3
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3
red by 5.1
2582
#20
36.11.5
40.338.8
Auto7.4
Teleop23.4
End5.3
Third
8370
#28
25.33.7
25.729.5
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 4.0
9991
#29
21.32.5
23.921.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed