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Red74
999419.5
419224.8
542735.8
Blue148
62458.5
288158.7
463928.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7817205010015020025074148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+66
Endgame+76
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +48
8Coral scored#18
28Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
52Total teleop100
Reef
4L4#11
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
2Foul points0
74Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#15
35.80.8
37.937.1
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
blue by 22.9
58.70.4
56.356.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.2
End11.5
Second
4192
#42
24.80.8
28.527.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End0.2
blue by 33.8
624
#17
58.50.4
58.558.9
Auto11.7
Teleop42.3
End4.6
Third
9994
#32
19.51.3
17.716.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End3.0
blue by 8.8
4639
#25
28.30.4
27.427.8
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned