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Red125
300567.2
147752.7
541437.9
Blue150
941831.3
589256.3
635759.5
75%Model gave it25%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189141050100250300350125150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +18
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points68
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
24Processor points24
20Net points24
44Algae points48
98Total teleop116
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
125Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#38
67.23.5
72.368.8
Auto10.5
Teleop49.9
End6.8
red by 7.7
6357
#12
59.50.6
58.058.6
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
Second
1477
#11
52.73.5
61.958.4
Auto10.0
Teleop37.1
End5.7
blue by 3.6
56.30.6
47.247.8
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
Third
5414
#27
37.93.5
42.939.4
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End1.0
red by 6.6
9418
#19
31.30.6
35.436.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned