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Red213
32351.9
582941.4
804490.4
Blue184
680079.6
637733.6
998644.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181163100150200250213184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +2
25Coral scored#27
90Coral points96
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
30Processor points18
20Net points24
50Algae points42
140Total teleop138
Reef
9L4#9
10L3#11
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#40
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
213Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.43.3
80.183.4
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
red by 10.8
79.62.5
77.680.1
Auto20.4
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Second
323
#13
51.93.3
47.250.5
Auto6.6
Teleop39.0
End6.3
red by 7.6
44.34.2
37.741.9
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Third
41.43.3
36.139.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 7.9
6377
#30
33.62.5
31.233.7
Auto5.8
Teleop27.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned