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Red105
851517.1
1038522.1
41848.6
Blue70
914060.8
769115.3
550314.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859505015010570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +34
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
71Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
105Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#21
48.61.5
48.449.9
Auto12.8
Teleop29.8
End6.0
blue by 12.2
9140
#31
60.81.2
59.057.8
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
Second
22.11.5
17.919.4
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
red by 6.7
7691
#41
15.31.2
14.513.3
Auto1.3
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Third
8515
#34
17.11.5
16.618.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
red by 2.3
5503
#37
14.81.2
14.913.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed