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Red133
507018.4
543135.7
271843.8
Blue95
458712.0
384750.3
258732.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10412105015020013395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+40Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +42
15Coral scored#13
54Coral points46
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
24Processor points6
20Net points4
44Algae points10
98Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points2
133Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2718
#10
43.82.1
39.341.4
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
blue by 6.5
3847
#14
50.31.6
56.955.2
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
Second
5431
#23
35.72.1
36.238.3
Auto4.4
Teleop28.8
End2.4
red by 3.2
2587
#16
32.51.6
34.733.1
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End3.4
Third
5070
#22
18.42.1
17.619.6
Auto1.8
Teleop13.0
End3.6
red by 6.4
4587
#39
12.01.6
14.112.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned