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Red58
749246.8
590821.3
28828.5
Blue137
32454.9
433630.0
284845.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7515705010020025058137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+69
Endgame+81
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +52
9Coral scored#23
34Coral points84
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
46Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#11
2L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
2Foul points0
58Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7492
#26
46.81.3
45.243.9
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
blue by 8.1
324
#9
54.90.1
55.455.3
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Second
5908
#35
21.31.3
21.520.2
Auto3.3
Teleop17.3
End0.7
blue by 24.5
2848
#24
45.80.1
47.147.0
Auto14.6
Teleop30.3
End0.9
Third
2882
#40
8.51.3
9.07.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 21.5
4336
#18
30.00.1
35.935.8
Auto4.6
Teleop24.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned