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Red78
590821.3
258732.5
433630.0
Blue95
543135.7
384750.3
999121.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931160501502007895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+23
Endgame+35
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points22
12Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +10
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
46Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
18Foul points0
78Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#16
32.52.7
33.130.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End3.4
blue by 17.8
3847
#14
50.31.3
55.253.9
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
Second
4336
#18
30.02.7
35.833.1
Auto4.6
Teleop24.1
End1.3
blue by 5.7
5431
#23
35.71.3
38.336.9
Auto4.4
Teleop28.8
End2.4
Third
5908
#35
21.32.7
20.217.5
Auto3.3
Teleop17.3
End0.7
Level
9991
#29
21.32.1
21.419.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned