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Red92
914060.8
851517.1
458712.0
Blue108
637733.6
28828.5
635759.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311205015020025092108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#19
31Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
55Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#3
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
92Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#31
60.80.2
57.858.0
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
red by 1.3
6357
#12
59.50.5
58.659.2
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
Second
8515
#34
17.10.2
18.118.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
blue by 16.5
6377
#30
33.60.5
33.734.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.3
End0.4
Third
4587
#39
12.00.2
12.412.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End1.2
red by 3.5
2882
#40
8.50.5
7.78.3
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed