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Red150
32351.9
749246.8
32454.9
Blue97
837025.3
41848.6
284845.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1611315010015020025015097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+19Teleop
+39Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
4Coral scored#6
18Coral points31
27Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#9
69Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
83Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
14Foul points0
150Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#9
54.91.1
55.354.2
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
red by 6.2
418
#21
48.62.0
49.947.9
Auto12.8
Teleop29.8
End6.0
Second
323
#13
51.91.1
50.549.4
Auto6.6
Teleop39.0
End6.3
red by 6.1
2848
#24
45.82.0
47.045.0
Auto14.6
Teleop30.3
End0.9
Third
7492
#26
46.81.1
43.942.7
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
red by 21.5
8370
#28
25.32.0
29.527.5
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed