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Red135
62458.5
507018.4
300567.2
Blue163
550314.8
804490.4
271843.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161162100120140180200135163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
21Coral scored#24
75Coral points85
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
107Total teleop115
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#9
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points2
135Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#38
67.20.8
68.868.0
Auto10.5
Teleop49.9
End6.8
blue by 23.2
90.41.5
83.484.9
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
Second
624
#17
58.50.8
58.958.1
Auto11.7
Teleop42.3
End4.6
red by 14.7
2718
#10
43.81.5
41.442.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
Third
5070
#22
18.40.8
19.618.8
Auto1.8
Teleop13.0
End3.6
red by 3.6
5503
#37
14.81.5
13.715.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned