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Red106
769115.3
1038522.1
589256.3
Blue144
999419.5
680079.6
1011841.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81152050100200250106144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
88Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#8
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
106Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.31.7
47.849.5
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
blue by 23.2
79.61.1
80.181.2
Auto20.4
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Second
22.11.7
19.421.1
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
blue by 19.1
41.21.1
31.332.4
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3
Third
7691
#41
15.31.7
13.315.0
Auto1.3
Teleop13.0
End1.0
blue by 4.1
9994
#32
19.51.7
16.418.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned