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Red100
998644.3
541437.9
1001444.3
Blue138
582941.4
542735.8
288158.7
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13315150100200250100138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points39
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
49Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
100Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.32.7
41.939.2
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4
blue by 14.4
58.70.1
56.756.6
Auto13.0
Teleop34.2
End11.5
Second
44.31.7
44.542.8
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End7.0
red by 2.9
41.40.1
39.439.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Third
5414
#27
37.91.7
39.437.7
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End1.0
red by 2.0
5427
#15
35.80.1
37.137.0
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned