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Red159
271843.8
998644.3
589256.3
Blue91
463928.3
1001444.3
769115.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1448605010020025015991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+58Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points7
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +34
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
96Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#3
6L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
159Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.31.8
49.551.4
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
red by 12.0
44.30.4
42.843.1
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End7.0
Second
44.32.6
39.241.8
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4
red by 16.0
4639
#25
28.30.4
27.928.3
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End2.9
Third
2718
#10
43.81.8
42.944.7
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
red by 28.5
7691
#41
15.30.4
15.015.3
Auto1.3
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned