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Red221
542735.8
284845.8
118104.8
Blue85
32454.9
550314.8
507018.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2237905010015020025030022185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+100Teleop
+98Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +72
22Coral scored#11
78Coral points40
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#2
18Processor points12
36Net points8
54Algae points20
132Total teleop60
Reef
11L4#4
7L3#3
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +136
38Foul points0
221Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
104.80.3
103.4103.1
Auto21.6
Teleop72.6
End10.7
red by 49.9
324
#9
54.90.4
54.253.8
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Second
2848
#24
45.80.3
45.044.7
Auto14.6
Teleop30.3
End0.9
red by 27.4
5070
#22
18.40.4
18.818.4
Auto1.8
Teleop13.0
End3.6
Third
5427
#15
35.80.3
37.036.7
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
red by 21.1
5503
#37
14.80.4
15.214.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned