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Red93
147752.7
851517.1
543135.7
Blue147
62458.5
999121.3
32351.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161238010014016093147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+46
Endgame+56
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +36
14Coral scored#20
51Coral points73
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
71Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#10
6L3#5
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
2Foul points0
93Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#11
52.71.3
54.553.3
Auto10.0
Teleop37.1
End5.7
blue by 5.8
624
#17
58.51.3
58.159.4
Auto11.7
Teleop42.3
End4.6
Second
5431
#23
35.71.3
36.935.7
Auto4.4
Teleop28.8
End2.4
blue by 16.2
323
#13
51.91.3
49.450.8
Auto6.6
Teleop39.0
End6.3
Third
8515
#34
17.11.3
18.317.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
blue by 4.2
9991
#29
21.31.9
19.421.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned47%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned