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Red103
637733.6
41848.6
458712.0
Blue69
384750.3
433630.0
419224.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9512405015020010369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
59Total teleop42
Reef
9L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
18Foul points0
103Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#21
48.60.7
47.947.2
Auto12.8
Teleop29.8
End6.0
blue by 1.7
3847
#14
50.33.1
53.950.9
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
Second
6377
#30
33.60.7
34.233.6
Auto5.8
Teleop27.3
End0.4
red by 3.5
4336
#18
30.03.1
33.130.0
Auto4.6
Teleop24.1
End1.3
Third
4587
#39
12.00.7
12.712.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End1.2
blue by 12.7
4192
#42
24.83.1
27.824.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed