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Red173
635759.5
258732.5
749246.8
Blue207
590821.3
804490.4
1011841.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152156120140160180200173207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave0
5Coral scored#8
25Coral points40
34Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +12
23Coral scored#24
83Coral points87
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
12Processor points24
28Net points24
40Algae points48
123Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#16
10L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
173Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#12
59.52.2
59.261.4
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
blue by 30.9
90.43.8
84.988.7
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
Second
7492
#26
46.82.2
42.744.9
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
red by 5.6
41.23.8
32.436.2
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3
Third
2587
#16
32.52.2
30.332.5
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End3.4
red by 11.2
5908
#35
21.33.8
17.521.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned