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Red133
837025.3
32454.9
582941.4
Blue124
1011841.2
62458.5
419224.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149172100120140160180200220240133124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+35
Endgame+15
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points18
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
71Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#11
4L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
24Foul points0
133Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#9
54.91.5
62.360.8
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
blue by 3.7
624
#17
58.51.5
67.465.9
Auto11.7
Teleop42.3
End4.6
Second
41.41.5
30.929.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 0.2
41.21.5
28.526.9
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3
Third
8370
#28
25.31.5
28.727.3
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 0.6
4192
#42
24.81.5
43.241.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed