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Red198
118104.8
914060.8
258236.1
Blue88
589256.3
300567.2
999419.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281635010020025030019888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+100Teleop
+110Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave3
11Coral scored#3
55Coral points13
58Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +58
24Coral scored#15
88Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
126Total teleop68
Reef
11L4#8
12L3#5
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
0Foul points0
198Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
104.80.5
102.2101.7
Auto21.6
Teleop72.6
End10.7
red by 37.6
3005
#38
67.24.7
89.484.7
Auto10.5
Teleop49.9
End6.8
Second
9140
#31
60.80.5
58.858.3
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
red by 4.5
56.34.7
51.246.5
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
Third
2582
#20
36.10.5
44.443.9
Auto7.4
Teleop23.4
End5.3
red by 16.6
9994
#32
19.57.8
18.010.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed