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Red174
680079.6
941831.3
635759.5
Blue204
914060.8
1011841.2
589256.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1881650100300400500174204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+18
Endgame+26
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points40
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +8
21Coral scored#24
76Coral points88
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
30Processor points18
20Net points28
50Algae points46
126Total teleop134
Reef
15L4#14
5L3#7
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points6
174Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.0
79.579.6
Auto20.4
Teleop48.9
End10.3
red by 18.8
9140
#31
60.80.9
60.361.2
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
Second
6357
#12
59.50.0
59.459.5
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
red by 3.2
56.30.9
55.856.7
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
Third
9418
#19
31.30.0
31.231.3
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0
blue by 9.9
41.20.9
40.641.5
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3