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Red203
914060.8
1011841.2
589256.3
Blue203
998644.3
749246.8
288158.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163159100150200250203203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points35
44Total auto44
Teleoperatedlevel
20Coral scored#22
73Coral points79
6Processor algae#5
6Net algae#6
36Processor points30
24Net points24
60Algae points54
133Total teleop133
Reef
7L4#14
10L3#7
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
203Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#31
60.8
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
red by 2.1
58.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.2
End11.5
Second
56.3
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
red by 9.5
7492
#26
46.8
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
Third
41.2
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3
blue by 3.1
44.3
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4