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Red162
680079.6
635759.5
941831.3
Blue142
32454.9
284845.8
32351.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19115350100250300162142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points77
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
12Processor points24
12Net points12
24Algae points36
109Total teleop113
Reef
11L4#11
9L3#4
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
162Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.3
81.080.7
Auto20.4
Teleop48.9
End10.3
red by 24.7
324
#9
54.90.2
53.953.6
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Second
6357
#12
59.50.3
60.960.6
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
red by 7.6
323
#13
51.90.2
50.950.6
Auto6.6
Teleop39.0
End6.3
Third
9418
#19
31.30.3
32.732.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0
blue by 14.5
2848
#24
45.80.2
44.844.6
Auto14.6
Teleop30.3
End0.9