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Red256
804490.4
1001444.3
118104.8
Blue177
914060.8
1011841.2
589256.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26514850100200300350400256177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+47Teleop
+77Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave6
12Coral scored#5
62Coral points24
65Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
28Coral scored#25
99Coral points91
5Processor algae#3
6Net algae#8
30Processor points18
24Net points32
54Algae points50
153Total teleop141
Reef
15L4#13
12L3#6
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#7
51Game pieces#41
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +79
2Foul points0
256Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
104.80.4
103.5103.9
Auto21.6
Teleop72.6
End10.7
red by 44.0
9140
#31
60.80.6
57.358.0
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
Second
90.40.4
89.089.5
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
red by 34.1
56.30.6
52.853.5
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
Third
44.30.4
43.143.5
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End7.0
red by 3.1
41.20.6
37.738.3
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3