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Red113
542735.8
271843.8
62458.5
Blue184
998644.3
749246.8
288158.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153155120130140160170180190113184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+71
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +47
11Coral scored#24
38Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
62Total teleop109
Reef
8L4#11
4L3#9
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points12
113Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
58.50.6
59.158.5
Auto11.7
Teleop42.3
End4.6
blue by 0.2
58.70.6
57.458.0
Auto13.0
Teleop34.2
End11.5
Second
2718
#10
43.80.6
44.443.8
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
blue by 2.9
7492
#26
46.80.6
45.446.0
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
Third
5427
#15
35.80.6
36.435.8
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End5.5
blue by 8.5
44.30.8
42.443.2
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4