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Red121
147752.7
384750.3
541437.9
Blue176
300567.2
582941.4
41848.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148167050100200250300121176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +45
17Coral scored#26
60Coral points95
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
82Total teleop127
Reef
8L4#14
3L3#8
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
121Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#11
52.70.5
53.252.7
Auto10.0
Teleop37.1
End5.7
blue by 14.5
3005
#38
67.20.5
66.366.7
Auto10.5
Teleop49.9
End6.8
Second
3847
#14
50.30.5
50.850.3
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
red by 1.7
418
#21
48.60.5
47.748.2
Auto12.8
Teleop29.8
End6.0
Third
5414
#27
37.90.5
38.337.9
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End1.0
blue by 3.6
41.40.5
40.540.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.1
End7.0