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Red172
998644.3
749246.8
288158.7
Blue181
32454.9
284845.8
32351.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501590400600800172181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave6
9Coral scored#2
47Coral points10
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
19Coral scored#23
69Coral points81
1Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
6Processor points30
24Net points20
30Algae points50
99Total teleop131
Reef
12L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points18
172Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.5
56.957.4
Auto13.0
Teleop34.2
End11.5
red by 3.9
324
#9
54.90.1
53.853.9
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Second
7492
#26
46.80.5
44.945.4
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
blue by 5.1
323
#13
51.90.1
50.850.9
Auto6.6
Teleop39.0
End6.3
Third
44.30.6
41.842.4
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4
blue by 1.5
2848
#24
45.80.1
44.744.8
Auto14.6
Teleop30.3
End0.9