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Red174
118101.1
541441.1
624316.7
Blue103
589246.4
947821.8
582933.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18397050150200250300350400174103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+71Teleop
+75Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
40Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +51
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points51
4Processor algae#0
5Net algae#4
24Processor points0
20Net points16
44Algae points16
118Total teleop67
Reef
12L4#7
7L3#3
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points4
174Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.10.4
100.1100.5
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
red by 54.7
5892
#15
46.40.1
46.446.3
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Second
41.10.4
40.140.5
Auto12.4
Teleop24.8
End3.8
red by 7.6
33.50.1
33.533.4
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
Third
6243
#21
16.70.4
15.716.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End0.5
blue by 5.0
9478
#19
21.80.1
21.721.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8