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Red125
589246.4
947821.8
582933.5
Blue85
32436.9
557253.1
12722.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10513205015020025030035012585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+38Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +27
19Coral scored#11
69Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
89Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#4
9L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
125Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#15
46.40.6
45.846.4
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
blue by 6.6
53.10.7
53.753.1
Auto14.5
Teleop30.1
End8.4
Second
33.50.6
32.933.5
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
blue by 3.4
324
#4
36.90.7
37.636.9
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Third
9478
#19
21.80.6
21.221.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 1.1
127
#12
22.90.7
23.522.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.1