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Red61
258528.6
542728.6
851519.0
Blue73
999431.2
32436.9
458717.1
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101880501502006173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+12
0Endgame0
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
17Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
28Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points12
61Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2585
#14
28.62.1
40.238.2
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End5.0
blue by 8.3
324
#4
36.91.5
50.849.3
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Second
5427
#10
28.62.1
28.626.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End6.3
blue by 2.7
31.22.5
18.115.5
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End0.6
Third
8515
#18
19.02.1
23.221.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End2.0
red by 1.9
17.11.5
15.113.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned