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Red77
99957.9
857629.5
837022.5
Blue71
947821.8
557253.1
373522.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5813401001502002507771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+4Teleop
+8Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points11
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
52Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points2
77Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.8
29.230.0
Auto1.4
Teleop20.5
End7.5
blue by 23.6
53.12.8
56.854.0
Auto14.5
Teleop30.1
End8.4
Second
22.50.8
20.921.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3735
#11
22.82.8
23.420.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.5
Third
9995
#17
7.91.4
14.616.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End0.1
blue by 13.8
9478
#19
21.82.8
30.928.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed